Predictions for the 2012 Emmy Awards

by Colin McGuire. 0 Comments

Come one, come all. It’s Emmy time, friends, and as we like to say around these tiny parts of the Word Wide Internet, you can’t have “TV” in your name twice and not address the highest honor in television each year (or, well, at least until they fire me).

This year, though, you — yes, you! — are in for a treat as one, Mr. Michael Hunley (from over at the Pop Goes The Culture blog) and I have decided to make things a little more interesting. You see, as those of you who occasionally read his musings may already know … I have a problem with movies that are cartoons. And by “a problem,” I mean, “I would rather take a bath in hot coal than watch anything that comes with a Pixar tag,” of course. This, Michael has said — and written — is ludicrous.

Conversely, it turns out that Mr. Hunley absolutely despises Katy Perry. And by “despises,” I mean, “He would rather fall asleep in a bed of onions than ever have to hear ‘Teenage Dream’ again,” of course. This, many pop music fans would argue, is ludicrous.

Thus, we find ourselves here, offering up our picks for 11 categories to be decided Sunday night at the 2012 Emmy Awards ceremony. Should he pick more winners correctly, I will watch a cartoon movie of his choice and write about said experience for him to post on his blog. Should I pick more winners correctly, he will watch Katy Perry’s widely unsuccessful concert movie “Part Of Me,” and write about said experience for me to post on my blog.

The tension, as you can see, is palpable.

So, behold our picks for this year’s trophy show, one for who we think should win (ultimately irrelevant) and one for who we think will win (for which our point system will be judged upon). Play along if you’d like. Compare. Contrast. Ignore us. Criticize us. Make fun of us. Dismiss us. Leave insulting comments. Send us derogatory emails. Tell your friends you think we should be punched. A lot.

Whatever your preference may be, at least remember the following: None of you will be forced to sit with either something possibly called “Toy Story” or a 90-minute profile of one of the most obnoxious pop stars today. No one wins here, friends. No one wins.

Let’s go …

DRAMA SERIES

Colin

Will win: “Mad Men”

– Though if there ever was a year that I think Jon Hamm and company could lose out to “Breaking Bad,” it’s this year. The most apprehensive pick of the bunch.

Should win: “Mad Men”

– I hear “Homeland” is great, and the fourth season of “Breaking Bad” may have been its strongest yet … but my God, don’t you remember this?

Michael

Will and should win: “Mad Men” will most likely make Emmy history by winning the most Drama Series awards consecutively for its eventful fifth season. And although I think “Breaking Bad” and “Homeland” had very strong seasons, too, “Men,” for me, still towers over the competition.

COMEDY SERIES

Colin

Will win: “Modern Family”

– Am I alone in thinking that this show’s stranglehold on awards season has made its quality increasingly hard to buy into?

Should win: “30 Rock”

– For my money, it’s the best show on television today … still. Though if “Veep” wins, I would be reminded that the world isn’t nearly as unbearable as it always seems.

Michael

Will win: “Modern Family”

– It is still going strong and scoring huge ratings and critical huzzahs, so it’ll probably pick up a third straight win.

Should win: “30 Rock”

– Even after six years, I continue to think “30 Rock” is the most consistently funny show on TV.

MINISERIES/TV MOVIE

Colin

Will win: “Game Change”

– I have absolutely nothing to base this on, other than a hunch.

Should win: “Luther”

– Because who doesn’t want to see Stringer Bell get some love?

Michael

Will win: “Hatfields & McCoys”

– The well-received “Hatfields & McCoys” broke ratings records for a basic-cable program, which should help propel it to an Emmy win.

Should win: “Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia” 

– A BBC production broadcast on PBS’s “Masterpiece” series, it was 90 minutes of some of the best TV of the 2011-12 season.

LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA

Colin

Will win: Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”

– My heart says something else, though as Lisa Des Moraes said in response to a question I asked during one of her chats after last year’s ceremony, if Jon Hamm didn’t win it last year, he never will. Plus, remember — a cartoon is on the line here. This is serious stuff.

Should win: Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”

– Do we not remember how perfect the “Peggy is quitting now, and you’re going to have to deal with it” scene was?

Michael

Will win: Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”

– Expect Bryan Cranston to pick up his fourth Emmy for his performance in “Breaking Bad,” a feat that hasn’t been done since “NYPD Blue’s” Dennis Franz (remember him?).

Should win: Damian Lewis 

– He was subtle and fascinating as the morally questionable POW survivor in “Homeland.”

LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA

Colin

Will win: Claire Danes, “Homeland”

– I keep reading that Kathy Bates may pull the upset, but if there seems to be one lock this year, it’s probably this category.

Should win: Elizabeth Moss, “Mad Men”

– One more time — Do we not remember how perfect the “Peggy is quitting now, and you’re going to have to deal with it” scene was?

Michael

Will and should win: “Homeland’s” Claire Danes is one of the few slam-dunk locks for a trophy after winning a Golden Globe and a Television Critics Association award for her role as a mentally unstable CIA agent. Her performance was definitely my favorite of the season, comedy or drama.

LEAD ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Colin

Will win: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”

– Man, that hurt my fingers, just typing such a thing.

Should win: Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”

– Because regardless of what the cool people want to tell you, that show is still funny, and he’s a big reason why. Though I would be pleasantly surprised if Louis C.K. pulls it off.

Michael

Will and should winI’m going out on a limb and predicting Louis C.K. for essentially playing himself in the offbeat sitcom “Louie” — I think his seven nominations this year (for acting, writing and directing this show, as well as producing, directing, writing and editing a stand-up special) speaks to his Emmy appeal. Plus, the episode he submitted to voters, “Duckling,” is a standout.

LEAD ACTRESS IN A COMEDY

Colin

Will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”

– One has to think that because she previously took home awards for two separate shows that she knows what Emmy buttons to push. Side: “The New Adventures Of Old Christine” was criminally underrated.

Should win: Tina Fey, “30 Rock”

– Again, that show is still funny, and she’s the biggest reason why.

Michael

Will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus 

– She has won Emmys for her past sitcoms, “Seinfeld” and “The New Adventures of Old Christine,” so it wouldn’t be a big surprise to see her win for her new role in HBO’s “Veep.”

Should win: Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie

– Though there’s still grumbling over whether it’s truly a “comedy series,” I loved past winner Edie Falco this season on “Nurse Jackie” as her character was sent to rehab and went through a messy divorce — not very funny material, but Falco made it work perfectly.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA

Colin

Will win: Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad”

– Oh, come on. Are you serious?

Should win: Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad”

– It’s the single greatest supporting role in the history of dramatic television, and this isn’t the first time I’ve said that.

Michael

Will win: Giancarlo Esposito, “Breaking Bad”

– He had a very noteworthy last episode on “Breaking Bad,” which should give him the leg up over co-star Aaron Paul and last year’s winner, Peter Dinklage from “Game of Thrones.”

Should win: Jared Harris, “Mad Men”

– Just as memorable a send-off as Esposito’s, though, was Jared Harris in “Mad Men,” whose character arc was played much more tragically and was, ultimately, quite heartbreaking.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA

Colin

Will win: Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”

– The stars seem to be aligning for her this year, even though it seems voters can’t get enough of “Downton Abbey.”

Should win: Christina Hendricks, “Mad Men”

– I’m going to guess (complete guess, remember, because I don’t have an in like Michael seems to with “Louie”) that the episode during which she is sent to essentially act as a prostitute was submitted for this. And if I’m right, I can’t think of a better supporting female performance this year. Besides, I just can’t stand Anna Gunn.

Michael

Will win: Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey”

– The Emmys have to give some love to the pop-cultural phenomenon that is “Downton Abbey,” and I think it’ll result in Maggie Smith winning as the sharp-tongued Countess of Grantham (she even won last year when “Downton” was listed in the Miniseries category).

Should win: Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad”

– I’ve always been impartial to Anna Gunn’s Skyler on “Breaking Bad” in the past — I never loved or hated her — but I thought she knocked it out of the park in season four as she went head to head with her increasingly volatile husband.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY

Colin

Will win: Bill Hader, “Saturday Night Live”

– The “Modern Family” clique will cancel out each other. That leaves us with Bill Hader (who has been one of the few bright spots in recent SNL history) and someone from “New Girl.” My thoughts, exactly.

Should win: Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family”

– I’m sorry, but he’s got to be one of my favorite comedic characters on television today. He nails it every time he gets up to the plate.

Michael

Will winEd O’Neill, “Modern Family”

– The past two years, this award has gone to a “Modern Family” actor, and with all of them nominated again this year, it’s pretty much theirs to lose. But I’m going to go with Ed O’Neill, if only because voters will think he’s overdue for an award.

Should winMax Greenfield, “New Girl”

– Last year’s surprise breakout character was the delusional womanizer Schmidt in “New Girl,” thanks to actor Max Greenfield finding the right amount of goofiness and earnestness to keep his performance from getting over-the-top.

SUPPORTING ACTRES IN A COMEDY

Colin

Will winSofia Vergara, “Modern Family”

– Because her name isn’t Julie Bowen.

Should winJulie Bowen, “Modern Family”

– Much like O’Neill, I’m in the tank for Bowen’s Claire. She gives the sense of levity that show needs to be as successful as it is.

Michael

Will winSofia Vergara, “Modern Family”

– Julie Bowen won this last year, so I’m guessing voters will give it to her co-star, Sofia Vergara, this year, thanks to how ubiquitous she’s become over the past few months, popping up in everything from “Saturday Night Live,” to K-Mart ads, to “The Three Stooges.”

Should winMayim Bialik, “The Big Bang Theory” 

– Because, duh, it’s Blossom!

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