Here are my explanations for my AFC South Predictions. I will repost the standings for the division and then give a little team by team breakdown to explain my reasoning for the specific record.
For the second year in a row, the Texans should runaway with this division. They have an explosive offense. Quarterback Matt Shaub has a number of weapons to throw to including all-pro receiver Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter, and tight end Owen Daniels. They also have arguably the best running back in the league in Arian Foster. Also, Foster's back up, Ben Tate, could start for some teams. Despite the losses of Mario Williams and DeMarco Murray, the Texans still sport a strong defense. Remember, they played a large chunk of last season without Williams who was out with injury. The Texans just may prove to be the best team in football.
The Titans are an interesting bunch. They have decided to hand the keys to the car to second year quarterback Jake Locker as opposed to veteran Matt Hasslebeck. The Titans have a good core of receivers led by Kenny Britt and Nate Washington, but still have a huge question mark next to running back Chris Johnson. Johnson's performance will dictate the ability of this team to be successful. Either he bounces back and gives this team a shot at .500 or he continues to struggle, placing a ton of weight on Locker's shoulders. I shade towards the latter until proven otherwise.
The good news for Colts fans is that the team will not be as bad as last year. The bad news is they are at least one or two years away from thinking playoffs. Rookie quarterback Andrew Luck takes the reins of this once great offense. He inherits an okay set of receivers led by Reggie Wayne. Luck has a safety blanket at tight end in former Stanford teammate Coby Fleener. New head coach Chuck Pagano will look to rebuild a below average defense that is highly susceptible to the run. It won't be a great season, but the improvement will be leaps and bounds compared to last year's squad.
Jacksonville is putting the pieces together for a nice offense. Quarterback Blaine Gabbert enters his second season with a new weapon in rookie wide receiver Justin Blackmon. Blackmon should be a huge help to Gabbert who had an extremely shaky rookie season. The Jaguars also have a great running back in Maurice Jones-Drew. However, his holdout concerns me. We all saw what happened to Chris Johnson after he missed the preseason holding out. If the same happens to Jones-Drew, things could get even uglier than I think they will be.